Fundamentality and the prior probability of theism

Paul Draper has recently developed an account of intrinsic probability according to which a theory's intrinsic probability is determined by its modesty and coherence. He employs this account in an argument that Source Physicalism (SP) and Source Idealism (SI) are equally intrinsically probable....

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Wilson, Luke (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
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Published: Cambridge Univ. Press [2020]
In: Religious studies
Year: 2020, Volume: 56, Issue: 2, Pages: 169-180
Standardized Subjects / Keyword chains:B Draper, Paul 1957- / Theism / Physicalism
IxTheo Classification:AB Philosophy of religion; criticism of religion; atheism
NBC Doctrine of God
Online Access: Volltext (Verlag)
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Summary:Paul Draper has recently developed an account of intrinsic probability according to which a theory's intrinsic probability is determined by its modesty and coherence. He employs this account in an argument that Source Physicalism (SP) and Source Idealism (SI) are equally intrinsically probable. Since SP and SI are not exhaustive, and Theism is one very specific version of SI, it follows that the intrinsic probability of Theism is very low. I argue here that considerations of fundamentality show that more work needs to be done to defend the claim that P(SP) = P(SI).
ISSN:1469-901X
Contains:Enthalten in: Religious studies
Persistent identifiers:DOI: 10.1017/S0034412518000458