Missing analyst forecasts and corporate fraud: evidence from China

The relationship between analysts' forecasts and corporate fraud is a vital theoretical and practical question that needs to be clarified. Based on a strict distinction between negative performance gaps relative to analyst forecasts (negative forecast gaps hereinafter) and analyst coverage, thi...

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Bibliographic Details
Authors: Ren, Liuyang (Author) ; Zhong, Xi (Author) ; Wan, Liangyong (Author)
Format: Electronic Article
Language:English
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Published: Springer Science + Business Media B. V 2022
In: Journal of business ethics
Year: 2022, Volume: 181, Issue: 1, Pages: 171-194
Further subjects:B Analyst coverage
B Corporate fraud
B Aufsatz in Zeitschrift
B Negative forecast gaps
Online Access: Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)
Volltext (lizenzpflichtig)

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520 |a The relationship between analysts' forecasts and corporate fraud is a vital theoretical and practical question that needs to be clarified. Based on a strict distinction between negative performance gaps relative to analyst forecasts (negative forecast gaps hereinafter) and analyst coverage, this study investigates the influence of analyst forecasts on corporate fraud from a panoramic perspective. Using panel data on listed companies in China from 2008 to 2019, we find that short-term performance pressure caused by negative forecast gaps is significantly positively correlated with firms’ possibility for fraudulent behavior. However, this positive correlation is weaker in state-owned enterprises than in their non-state-owned counterparts. Further, as a key external governance mechanism, analyst coverage enhances the negative moderator effect of state ownership on the positive relationship between negative forecast gaps and the likelihood of corporate fraud. 
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